The trio lead the projections ahead of the award ceremony scheduled for October 26 in London, United Kingdom.
According to Kalshi’s estimates, Spain midfielder Rodri has a 94 per cent chance of securing a top-10 finish, while Paris Saint-Germain’s Khvicha Kvaratskhelia follows with 93 per cent.
Argentina captain Lionel Messi, who plays for Inter Miami, has a 92 per cent chance of making the top 10.
Other players featuring prominently in the projections include Michael Olise, with an 86 per cent chance, and reigning Ballon d’Or holder Ousmane Dembele of PSG, who has an 83 per cent chance.
Manchester City striker Erling Haaland has a 72 per cent chance, while PSG midfielder Fabián Ruiz is listed at 66 per cent.
Real Madrid midfielder Jude Bellingham has a 38 per cent chance of finishing in the top 10, followed by Barcelona defender Pau Cubarsí at 31 per cent.
Arsenal midfielder Declan Rice has a 17 per cent chance, while João Neves of PSG is listed at 16 per cent. Achraf Hakimi has 11 per cent, and Chelsea defender Marc Cucurella has 10 per cent.
The figures represent Kalshi’s estimated probabilities of the players finishing among the top 10 and do not guarantee the final rankings. The 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is expected to be announced at the October 26 ceremony.
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